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International Relations April 22, 2026 6 min read Daily brief · #22 of 48

There’s no Republic of China president, says Beijing after Taiwan’s Lai is forced to cancel Africa visit

Taiwan's President Lai Ching-te was compelled to cancel a planned five-day visit to Eswatini — Taiwan's sole diplomatic ally in Africa — after Seychelles, Ma...


What Happened

  • Taiwan's President Lai Ching-te was compelled to cancel a planned five-day visit to Eswatini — Taiwan's sole diplomatic ally in Africa — after Seychelles, Mauritius, and Madagascar abruptly withdrew overflight clearance for his presidential aircraft, less than 24 hours before the planned departure.
  • Taiwan's government officially accused Beijing of applying economic coercion against the three African nations to deny Lai's flight permissions — marking the first time a presidential foreign visit was cancelled due to revoked overflight rights.
  • Beijing's foreign ministry stated that "the so-called 'President of the Republic of China' no longer exists in the world," reiterating that 52 of Africa's 53 nations recognise the People's Republic of China and support the One China principle.
  • The United States formally condemned China's actions as an "intimidation campaign," while Taiwan called on the international community to recognise the "hegemonic nature of China's bullying."
  • Taiwan currently maintains formal diplomatic relations with only 12 nations globally, down from approximately 30 a decade ago, as Beijing has systematically used economic leverage and diplomatic pressure to erode Taiwan's international space.

Static Topic Bridges

The "One China" framework refers to the diplomatic position that there is only one sovereign "China" and that Taiwan is a part of it. However, the term encompasses two distinct formulations: the "One China Policy" as interpreted by most countries (including India and the United States), which "acknowledges" rather than formally endorses Beijing's claim over Taiwan; and the "One China Principle" as articulated by the People's Republic of China (PRC), which asserts Chinese sovereignty over Taiwan as an indisputable legal fact. The two are not identical — the US One China Policy, for instance, does not recognise Taiwan as part of China, merely acknowledging Beijing's position.

  • UN General Assembly Resolution 2758 (1971): Recognised the PRC as "the only lawful representative of China" to the UN and expelled the Republic of China (ROC/Taiwan) from the UN. This is the legal foundation Beijing uses to assert its position; however, the resolution did not explicitly address Taiwan's sovereignty status.
  • India's position: India recognises the PRC as the government of China and does not have formal diplomatic relations with Taiwan; India acknowledges (but does not explicitly endorse) the One China position.
  • US One China Policy: The US "acknowledges" China's position but has not formally endorsed Chinese sovereignty over Taiwan; the Taiwan Relations Act (1979) governs unofficial US-Taiwan ties and commits to supplying Taiwan with defensive arms.
  • As of 2026: Taiwan has formal diplomatic recognition from 12 states (including Eswatini, Vatican, and several Pacific island states); approximately 142 of 193 UN member states explicitly endorse the PRC's One China Principle.

Connection to this news: Beijing's foreign ministry statement explicitly invoked the One China Principle to delegitimise Taiwan's President Lai, framing his travel as a provocation. The African nations' withdrawal of overflight clearance effectively applied the One China Principle in a new domain — civil aviation sovereignty.

China's Economic Coercion as a Diplomatic Tool

Economic coercion refers to the use of economic leverage — trade restrictions, investment threats, aid conditionalities, market access denial — to compel another state to change its political behaviour or foreign policy positions. China has increasingly employed this tool to enforce adherence to the One China Principle, particularly among developing nations dependent on Chinese trade, investment, or infrastructure financing. The pattern is especially pronounced in Africa, where China is the continent's largest bilateral creditor and trading partner.

  • Mechanism: China typically uses informal threats — veiled warnings through diplomatic channels about trade disruption, denial of access to Chinese markets, withdrawal of infrastructure loans, or tourism restrictions.
  • Africa context: China has deployed the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) extensively in Africa; by 2023, Chinese state-backed financing had reached over 50 African countries. Economic dependence creates leverage for diplomatic pressure.
  • Previous case: Eswatini (Taiwan's African ally) has faced Chinese economic coercion mechanisms twice, including state-issued threats and tourist restrictions targeting Swazi citizens.
  • Lithuania (2021): China imposed an effective trade embargo on Lithuania after it allowed Taiwan to open a representative office using the name "Taiwan" rather than "Taipei" — a notable precedent of economic coercion against a European state.
  • WTO angle: Economic coercion that selectively targets trade for political ends arguably violates WTO principles of non-discrimination, though enforcement is difficult.

Connection to this news: The revocation of overflight clearances by Seychelles, Mauritius, and Madagascar — small island nations with significant economic exposure to China — fits the established pattern of Beijing leveraging economic ties to produce political compliance on Taiwan-related issues.

Taiwan's International Status and Diplomatic Isolation

Taiwan operates as a self-governing democracy with its own constitution, military, currency, passport, and elected government. Its formal name is the Republic of China (ROC), established in 1912 on the mainland and relocated to Taiwan after the Communist Party's victory in the Chinese Civil War (1949). Despite effective governance of a population of approximately 23 million and being a significant global economy (23rd largest GDP), Taiwan is excluded from most international organisations due to PRC pressure, including the United Nations, WHO, ICAO, and Interpol.

  • ROC established: 1912 (mainland China); government relocated to Taiwan in 1949.
  • Taiwan's formal recognition: Reduced from ~30 countries (early 2000s) to 12 countries (2026) due to sustained PRC diplomatic and economic pressure.
  • Taiwan's economy: Global semiconductor powerhouse; TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company) produces over 50% of the world's advanced chips — a major factor in US strategic interest in Taiwan.
  • Taiwan Strait: ~180 km wide; PRC military exercises in the strait are a recurring source of Indo-Pacific tension.
  • President Lai Ching-te: Assumed office May 2024; labelled a "dangerous separatist" by Beijing for his pro-independence Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) background.
  • Pacific precedent: Taiwan's November 2024 Pacific island tour was also subject to Chinese diplomatic pressure.

Connection to this news: The forced cancellation of Lai's Africa visit illustrates the progressive tightening of Taiwan's diplomatic space, with Beijing now extending its pressure into the domain of airspace access — a new dimension of coercion beyond traditional economic and diplomatic tools.

Key Facts & Data

  • Taiwan's current diplomatic allies: 12 states globally (down from ~30 in the early 2000s).
  • African recognition: 52 of 53 African Union nations recognise the PRC; only Eswatini maintains formal ties with Taiwan.
  • Nations that revoked overflight: Seychelles, Mauritius, Madagascar — all Indian Ocean island states with significant Chinese economic ties.
  • UN General Assembly Resolution 2758: Adopted October 25, 1971; recognised PRC as lawful UN representative of China; expelled ROC.
  • Taiwan Relations Act (US, 1979): Governs unofficial US-Taiwan relations; commits US to supply Taiwan with defensive arms.
  • TSMC market share: ~50%+ of global advanced semiconductor fabrication capacity — key reason for Taiwan's strategic importance.
  • China's Belt and Road Initiative in Africa: Reached over 50 African countries by 2023.
  • Lithuania precedent (2021): China-imposed trade restrictions after Taiwan opened "Taiwan Representative Office" in Vilnius.
  • India's position: Maintains unofficial ties with Taiwan through Taipei Economic and Cultural Center (TECC) in Delhi; does not formally recognise ROC.
On this page
  1. What Happened
  2. Static Topic Bridges
  3. One China Policy: Origins, Content, and Legal Dimensions
  4. China's Economic Coercion as a Diplomatic Tool
  5. Taiwan's International Status and Diplomatic Isolation
  6. Key Facts & Data
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