Current Affairs Topics Archive
International Relations Economics Polity & Governance Environment & Ecology Science & Technology Internal Security Geography Social Issues Art & Culture Modern History

India ‘must prepare to face long-term impact’ of West Asia war, conditions will be difficult: Modi


What Happened

  • Prime Minister Narendra Modi addressed the Lok Sabha on March 23, 2026, calling the West Asia war situation "worrisome" and warning that India "must be prepared to face the long-term impact."
  • Modi announced that India currently holds approximately 53 lakh metric tonnes (5.3 million tonnes) of strategic petroleum reserves, while petroleum companies maintain additional commercial stocks.
  • The PM stated that India has diversified its energy sourcing from 27 countries a decade ago to 41 countries today, as part of long-term energy security strategy.
  • Modi declared India's opposition to any attacks on civilian, energy, and transport infrastructure, calling obstructions to international waterways like the Strait of Hormuz "unacceptable."
  • The government confirmed that around 3.75 lakh Indians have returned from the West Asia region; six Indians have died in the conflict so far, with about 10 million still in the region.

Static Topic Bridges

India's Strategic Petroleum Reserves (SPR)

India established its Strategic Petroleum Reserve programme under the Indian Strategic Petroleum Reserve Limited (ISPRL), a wholly-owned subsidiary of the Oil Industry Development Board under the Ministry of Petroleum and Natural Gas. The reserves are stored in underground rock caverns at three locations: Visakhapatnam (Andhra Pradesh) with 1.33 million tonnes capacity, Mangaluru (Karnataka) with 1.5 million tonnes, and Padur (Karnataka) with 2.5 million tonnes — giving a total storage capacity of 5.33 million tonnes. At full capacity, the SPR covers approximately 9.5 days of India's crude oil requirement.

  • Total SPR storage capacity: 5.33 million metric tonnes (3 sites)
  • Current fill level (March 2026): ~3.37 million tonnes (~64% of capacity)
  • Managed by: ISPRL, a subsidiary of Oil Industry Development Board (OIDB)
  • Phase-II expansion approved (2021): 6.5 million tonnes at Chandikhol (Odisha) and expanded Padur
  • In 2021, ADNOC (UAE) signed agreement to store 750,000 tonnes at Mangaluru SPR under commercialisation model
  • IEA recommends 90-day reserve holding; India's current combined (strategic + commercial) cover is ~74 days

Connection to this news: Modi's statement citing 53 lakh metric tonnes of reserves as a reassurance to the nation directly references the ISPRL caverns alongside commercial stocks; the current gap from the IEA's 90-day benchmark underscores India's strategic vulnerability in a prolonged conflict.

India's Energy Import Dependence and Diversification

India is the world's third-largest consumer of crude oil and imports over 88% of its crude oil requirement. Historically, West Asia (Gulf countries) has been the dominant supplier — accounting for more than 50% of India's crude imports through the Strait of Hormuz before the current conflict. India also depends on the region for 85–95% of its LPG imports and about 30% of its natural gas, with Qatar alone supplying nearly 40% of India's LNG imports.

  • India's crude import dependency: >88%
  • West Asia's share of crude before war: >50% (Saudi Arabia, Iraq, UAE)
  • LPG dependency on Gulf region: 85–95%
  • LNG from Qatar: ~40% of India's total LNG imports
  • Energy suppliers diversified: 27 countries (earlier) → 41 countries (2026)
  • Alternative crude sources activated: Russia, West Africa, USA, Latin America

Connection to this news: Modi's announcement about diversification from 27 to 41 supplier nations is a direct outcome of India's energy security strategy; the war has forced acceleration of this diversification, particularly for crude (Russia) while LPG and LNG alternatives are harder to find at short notice.

Strait of Hormuz and Global Energy Security

The Strait of Hormuz is a narrow waterway between Iran and Oman connecting the Persian Gulf to the Gulf of Oman and Arabian Sea. It is the world's most strategically important oil chokepoint — approximately 21 million barrels per day (about 20% of global oil supply) transited through it before the current conflict. For India, roughly 2.5–2.7 million barrels per day, or about half of total crude imports, transited through the Strait.

  • Width at narrowest point: ~33 km (navigable lanes: 2 × 3.2 km)
  • Pre-conflict transit: ~21 million bpd (20% of global oil)
  • India's Hormuz-dependent crude: ~40–50% (long-term average ~40%, recent months ~50%)
  • Other major choke points: Suez Canal, Bab-el-Mandeb, Malacca Strait
  • Brent crude had risen ~40% in the three weeks preceding Modi's statement, crossing $108/barrel

Connection to this news: Modi's explicit statement that obstructing international waterways is "unacceptable" is a diplomatic signal directed at Iran, whose actions — partially closing the strait to vessels associated with the US and Israel — have disrupted India's energy and LPG supply chains.

India's Diaspora and Overseas Indian Welfare

India has the world's largest diaspora, with approximately 32 million people of Indian origin living abroad. The Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries — Saudi Arabia, UAE, Kuwait, Qatar, Oman, Bahrain — host the largest concentration, accounting for nearly 8–9 million of the approximately 10 million Indians in West Asia. Remittances from the Gulf constitute a significant share of India's total inward remittances (over $100 billion annually), making the region economically vital beyond energy trade.

  • Indians in West Asia: ~10 million
  • Indians returned from conflict zone by March 23: ~3.75 lakh
  • Indian deaths in the conflict so far: 6
  • Ministry of External Affairs operates 24/7 emergency helplines and manages evacuations under the Emergency Evacuation Plan
  • Operation Kaveri (2023, Sudan) and Operation Ganga (2022, Ukraine) are recent precedents for Indian citizen evacuations

Connection to this news: Modi's statement on human rights concerns alongside economic and security challenges reflects India's "citizens-first" evacuation priority, a consistent feature of recent Indian foreign policy responses to conflict zones.

Key Facts & Data

  • India's strategic petroleum reserves: 53 lakh metric tonnes (as cited by PM; stored at Vizag, Mangaluru, Padur)
  • Current SPR fill level: 3.37 MMT (64% of 5.33 MMT capacity)
  • SPR covers ~9.5 days at full capacity; current national stock (including commercial): ~74 days
  • Energy supplier count: 27 (decade ago) → 41 countries (2026)
  • Brent crude price: crossed $108/barrel — ~40% rise in 3 weeks
  • Qatar supplies ~40% of India's LNG; Ras Laffan refinery damage = ~$20 billion annual LNG export impact
  • ~10 million Indians in West Asia; 3.75 lakh returned; 6 deaths confirmed
  • India imports: 88% crude, 60% LPG, 50% natural gas from abroad
  • IEA's recommended reserve: 90 days net imports; India's current cover: ~74 days