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No reason to believe change in India's stance on Russian oil: Russian Foreign Ministry


What Happened

  • Russian Foreign Ministry spokesperson Maria Zakharova stated that Russia has "no reason to believe" India has changed its position on buying Russian hydrocarbons.
  • The statement came in response to claims by the Trump administration that India had agreed to stop importing Russian crude oil as part of the India-US trade deal.
  • Zakharova said India's purchase of Russian hydrocarbons "benefits both countries and helps maintain stability in the international energy market."
  • She criticised statements by US President Donald Trump and Secretary of State Marco Rubio, accusing Washington of attempting to dictate terms to sovereign nations.
  • The remarks highlight the triangular diplomatic complexity between India, the US, and Russia on energy trade.

Static Topic Bridges

India-Russia Energy Trade: Scale and Significance

India's crude oil imports from Russia surged dramatically after the Russia-Ukraine conflict began in February 2022. Russia's share of India's crude imports rose from under 2% pre-2022 to approximately 40% by 2024, driven by deep discounts on Russian Urals crude (typically $10-15/barrel below Brent benchmark). India became one of Russia's largest oil customers, absorbing crude that Western buyers shunned under sanctions. Russian crude imports to India peaked at approximately 2 million barrels per day in mid-2024. This shift saved India an estimated $7-10 billion annually in crude import costs. The bilateral energy relationship extends beyond crude oil to include LNG (Sakhalin-1 project, where ONGC Videsh holds a 20% stake), civil nuclear cooperation (Kudankulam Nuclear Power Plant built by Russia's Rosatom), and defence energy supply chains.

  • Russia's share of India's crude imports: Under 2% (pre-2022) to approximately 40% (2024)
  • Price discount: Russian Urals crude typically $10-15/barrel below Brent
  • Sakhalin-1: ONGC Videsh holds 20% stake
  • Kudankulam NPP: Units 1-2 operational, Units 3-6 under construction (Rosatom)
  • India's estimated annual savings from Russian crude: $7-10 billion

Connection to this news: Russia's public pushback against US claims reflects Moscow's strategic interest in maintaining India as a major oil customer, especially as Western markets remain largely closed to Russian crude under EU and G7 sanctions and price caps.

Western Sanctions on Russian Energy and the Price Cap Mechanism

Following Russia's invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, the EU imposed six packages of sanctions on Russian oil. The EU's sixth sanctions package (June 2022) banned seaborne Russian crude imports (effective December 2022) and refined petroleum products (effective February 2023). The G7 and EU introduced a price cap of $60/barrel on Russian crude (December 2022), enforced through a ban on Western shipping, insurance, and financial services for Russian oil trades above the cap. India has not joined these sanctions and has maintained its position that it will buy oil from wherever it gets the best deal. India has argued that its purchases help stabilise global markets by preventing supply disruptions. The US has intermittently exerted pressure on India regarding Russian oil, but has generally avoided imposing secondary sanctions given the broader strategic relationship.

  • EU seaborne Russian crude ban: Effective December 2022
  • G7/EU price cap: $60/barrel on Russian crude (December 2022)
  • Enforcement mechanism: Ban on Western shipping, insurance, financial services above cap
  • India's position: Not party to Western sanctions; buys oil based on national interest
  • US approach: Pressure but no secondary sanctions on Indian entities (so far)

Connection to this news: The diplomatic tension between US claims and Russian denials about India's oil stance reflects the broader challenge India faces in navigating between its strategic partnership with Russia and its deepening economic ties with the US.

India's Multi-Alignment Foreign Policy

India's approach to the Russia-Ukraine conflict exemplifies its multi-alignment strategy — maintaining strategic relationships with competing power blocs without formally aligning with either side. This builds on India's historical Non-Alignment Movement (NAM) legacy but is more pragmatic and interest-driven. India has abstained on most UN General Assembly and Security Council resolutions condemning Russia's invasion of Ukraine. Simultaneously, India has deepened economic and defence ties with the US through frameworks like the Quad, iCET (Initiative on Critical and Emerging Technology, launched January 2023), and BECA, LEMOA, and COMCASA foundational defence agreements. India's crude oil purchases from Russia, combined with its growing defence and technology partnership with the US, illustrate the practical application of multi-alignment — maximising benefits from both relationships without being constrained by either.

  • India abstained on most UNGA/UNSC resolutions on Ukraine
  • Key US frameworks: Quad, iCET (2023), BECA (2020), LEMOA (2016), COMCASA (2018)
  • Key Russia frameworks: Annual Summits, S-400 deal, Kudankulam NPP, Sakhalin energy
  • NAM legacy: Founded 1961 (Belgrade); India a founding member
  • Multi-alignment: Interest-driven pragmatism replacing ideological non-alignment

Connection to this news: The simultaneous Indian engagement with both the US (trade deal) and Russia (oil purchases) demonstrates multi-alignment in action. Russia's statement that India's stance is unchanged, even as the US claims India agreed to stop Russian oil imports, illustrates the diplomatic space India navigates.

Key Facts & Data

  • Russia's share of India's crude imports rose from under 2% (pre-2022) to approximately 40% (2024)
  • Russian Urals crude discount: $10-15/barrel below Brent benchmark
  • G7/EU price cap on Russian crude: $60/barrel (December 2022)
  • India abstained on most UNGA/UNSC resolutions on the Russia-Ukraine conflict
  • ONGC Videsh holds 20% stake in Sakhalin-1 (Russia)
  • India's annual savings from Russian crude estimated at $7-10 billion
  • India-US bilateral trade: approximately $191 billion (2024-25)