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India may pivot to the US as conflict clouds availability of LPG from West Asia


What Happened

  • India is actively diversifying LPG imports away from West Asia towards the United States, with US-origin supplies expected to remain competitive in Asian markets through at least May and the first half of June 2026.
  • Indian oil marketing companies have contracted 2.2 million metric tonnes of US-origin LPG for delivery in 2026, a significant increase aimed at compensating for supply disruptions from the Gulf region.
  • The closure of the Strait of Hormuz — through which over 90% of India's LPG imports previously transited — has created a severe supply constraint, since transit time from the US is 45 days compared to 4-6 days from the Middle East.
  • India's domestic LPG production has been ramped up by 40% to 50,000 tonnes per day, meeting roughly 60% of the daily requirement of 80,000 tonnes.
  • Beyond the US, India has also turned to Argentina, which shipped approximately 50,000 tonnes of LPG to India in three months of early 2026 — more than double its entire 2025 supply.
  • The government has stated that one month's LPG supply has been arranged and there is no energy emergency, but the long-term supply transition is expected to be costly and logistically complex.

Static Topic Bridges

The Strait of Hormuz — India's Most Critical Energy Chokepoint

The Strait of Hormuz is a narrow waterway between Iran to the north and Oman and the UAE to the south, with a navigable channel approximately 3.2 km wide for tankers. It is the world's single most important maritime energy chokepoint. Approximately 20-21 million barrels per day of crude oil and petroleum products transit through it, representing roughly 25-27% of all seaborne oil trade globally. For India, the dependence is acute: over 90% of LPG imports and a large share of crude oil imports transit the Strait.

  • About 20.5 million metric tonnes of LPG were imported by India in 2024, with over 90% from West Asian suppliers via Hormuz.
  • In January 2026, India's LPG imports were 2.192 million tonnes while domestic production was only 1.158 million tonnes — confirming heavy import dependence.
  • Saudi Arabia, UAE, Kuwait, Qatar, and Iraq collectively supply the majority of India's Gulf LPG.
  • China and India together received 44% of all oil exports transiting the Strait of Hormuz.
  • When the Strait is disrupted, the alternative Cape of Good Hope route adds 15-20 days to voyage time and substantially increases shipping costs.

Connection to this news: The ongoing US-Iran conflict and resulting Strait of Hormuz disruption directly triggered India's emergency pivot to US and Argentine LPG, exposing the structural vulnerability of India's energy supply chain to a single chokepoint.

India's Energy Security Architecture — Import Dependence and Diversification Imperatives

India is the world's third-largest consumer of oil and petroleum products and imports approximately 85% of its crude oil requirement. Energy security — defined as the uninterrupted physical availability of energy at affordable prices — is a persistent national security concern. India has pursued a multi-pronged strategy: diversifying import sources (US, Russia, Latin America alongside traditional Gulf sources), strategic petroleum reserves (in Visakhapatnam, Padur, Mangaluru), and domestic production increases. LPG (Liquefied Petroleum Gas) occupies a special policy priority as cooking fuel for hundreds of millions of households under the Pradhan Mantri Ujjwala Yojana programme.

  • India's strategic petroleum reserve capacity: approximately 5.33 million tonnes across three facilities.
  • Pradhan Mantri Ujjwala Yojana: 100 million LPG connections to below-poverty-line households as of 2025.
  • Domestic refinery LPG output can partially substitute for imports but is constrained by crude availability.
  • India imported crude from 40+ countries in FY25 as part of deliberate diversification, with Russia emerging as the top source at around 40% share.

Connection to this news: The LPG pivot to the US is consistent with India's broader energy diversification strategy, but the 45-day transit time vs. 4-6 days from the Gulf highlights the physical limits of diversification when a supply shock is sudden and severe.

India-US Energy Partnership — Strategic and Commercial Dimensions

India-US energy ties have strengthened substantially since the signing of the Strategic Energy Partnership in 2018. The US became a major crude oil and LNG supplier to India, partly driven by Trump administration policies encouraging energy exports and partly by India's post-2022 diversification strategy. US LPG (primarily propane from shale gas extraction) is competitively priced in Asian markets and the conflict has now made American suppliers the default alternative to Gulf supplies. India also received its first cargo of US LPG at Mangalore Port aboard the vessel Pyxis Pioneer in March 2026.

  • US LPG exports to India were negligible before 2018; they grew to a meaningful share post-Strategic Energy Partnership.
  • US LPG is primarily ethane and propane extracted as a byproduct of shale oil and gas production.
  • The 2.2 million MT US LPG contract for 2026 represents a historically high single-year procurement from the US.
  • Transit time disadvantage of 45 days (US) vs. 4-6 days (Gulf) increases inventory carrying costs and requires higher buffer stocks.

Connection to this news: The shift to US LPG deepens India-US energy interdependence and can be examined as both an economic compulsion and a strategic opportunity to reduce reliance on politically volatile supply sources.

Key Facts & Data

  • India's daily LPG requirement: ~80,000 tonnes; domestic production post-ramp-up: ~50,000 tonnes.
  • US LPG contracted for 2026: 2.2 million metric tonnes.
  • Argentina LPG shipped to India in 3 months (early 2026): ~50,000 tonnes (2x all of 2025).
  • Hormuz transit share of India's LPG imports: over 90%.
  • Transit time — Gulf to India: 4-6 days; US to India: ~45 days.
  • India's total LPG imports (2024): ~20.5 million metric tonnes.
  • US-Israeli strikes on Iran began February 28, 2026, triggering the supply disruption.