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Freight surge, LPG shortage amid West Asia crisis hit eastern India's exports


What Happened

  • The ongoing conflict in West Asia, triggered by US and Israeli strikes on Iran on February 28, 2026, has closed the Strait of Hormuz to normal commerce, sending freight rates to Europe and the United States surging by 60–80 percent for shippers operating out of eastern India.
  • Around 600 containers that had been brought to Kolkata port for loading were returned to the city after last-minute cargo cancellations as shipping lines declined to accept new bookings and refused to provide forward freight details.
  • The LPG shortage is compounding production difficulties across eastern India, as LPG is used in the finishing of manufactured goods; bakeries, restaurants, and small industries have begun halting operations.
  • Perishable exports — particularly shrimps, fish, and seafood — have been worst affected, along with engineering goods, textiles, and medicines destined for European markets.
  • War surcharges imposed by international shipping lines on top of rerouting costs (diversion around the Cape of Good Hope) account for the full 70–80 percent cost escalation.

Static Topic Bridges

The Strait of Hormuz as a Global Energy Chokepoint

The Strait of Hormuz, located between Iran and Oman, is the world's most critical maritime chokepoint for energy trade. In 2025, approximately 15 million barrels per day of crude oil passed through it — roughly 34 percent of global crude oil seaborne trade. About one-fifth of global LNG trade also transits this narrow 21-mile-wide passage. India is especially exposed: approximately 90 percent of its LPG imports, more than 50 percent of its LNG imports, and a significant share of crude oil pass through the strait.

  • Width at narrowest point: approximately 21 nautical miles (39 km)
  • Crude oil transit: ~15 mb/d (34% of global seaborne crude trade) in 2025
  • LNG transit: ~19% of global LNG trade (nearly all of Qatar's exports)
  • India's LPG import exposure through Hormuz: ~90%
  • India's LNG import exposure through Hormuz: >50%
  • Major oil exporters transiting: Saudi Arabia, UAE, Kuwait, Iraq, Iran, Qatar
  • When disrupted, ships must reroute around Africa (Cape of Good Hope), adding 2–3 weeks and 10,000–15,000 km per voyage

Connection to this news: The effective closure of the Strait has forced shipping lines to reroute around Africa, directly adding freight costs and transit times for Kolkata port shippers and cutting off the LPG supply India depends on for both households and industrial use.


Kolkata Port and Eastern India's Trade Gateway

Kolkata (Syama Prasad Mookerjee Port) is India's oldest major port and the primary trade gateway for the eastern hinterland. It serves West Bengal, Odisha, Bihar, Jharkhand, and the northeastern states. The port handles significant volumes of perishable cargo (seafood, agri products) and manufactured goods. Unlike west-coast ports (JNPT, Mundra) which have more direct routing options, Kolkata's cargo is predominantly routed through the Suez Canal — placing it directly in the disruption path when the Red Sea or Hormuz is affected.

  • Kolkata Port is administered by Syama Prasad Mookerjee Port Trust
  • Among the 12 major ports under the Ministry of Ports, Shipping and Waterways
  • Eastern India exports heavily to Europe (via Suez Canal route) and the US (via Indian Ocean–Cape route)
  • Seafood exports from West Bengal and Odisha rely almost entirely on reefer container shipping
  • Container shortage compounds freight cost issues when routing disruptions strand boxes at transshipment hubs

Connection to this news: The return of 600 containers from Kolkata port signals a systemic breakdown in booking logistics — shipping lines are managing risk exposure by rejecting new cargo commitments, not merely raising prices, which is a deeper supply chain signal than rate movements alone.


Freight Rate Indices and Trade Competitiveness

International freight rates are tracked by indices such as the Baltic Exchange Freight Index (for dry bulk) and the Freightos Baltic Index / Shanghai Containerized Freight Index (SCFI) for container shipping. Freight costs as a share of export value directly affect competitiveness: when rates surge, low-margin exporters (garments, seafood, generic pharmaceuticals) are priced out of markets. India's export competitiveness in eastern sectors — shrimp, rice, textiles, engineering goods — is sensitive to such surges because buyers have alternative suppliers (Vietnam, Thailand, Bangladesh) who may not face similar disruptions.

  • War risk surcharges are separate line items from base freight — total cost is additive
  • Cape of Good Hope rerouting adds ~10–14 days of transit time and proportional fuel costs
  • LPG price as a production cost input: affects food processing, finishing, small-scale manufacturing
  • India's merchandise exports from Kolkata hinterland include seafood (~$5 billion/year industry nationwide), engineering goods, jute, textiles
  • A freight surge of 60–80% is comparable to the Red Sea/Houthi disruption of 2023–24 which saw similar spikes

Connection to this news: The combination of rate surges, container shortages, and war surcharges mirrors the 2023–24 Red Sea crisis pattern, but the Hormuz disruption is structurally more severe because it cuts off energy supply simultaneously with trade routing.


Key Facts & Data

  • Freight rate surge: 60–80% for shipments from Kolkata to Europe and the US
  • Containers stranded/returned from Kolkata port: approximately 600
  • Strait of Hormuz crude oil transit: ~15 mb/d (~34% of global seaborne crude trade)
  • India's LPG imports through Hormuz: ~90% of total LPG imports
  • India's LNG imports through Hormuz: >50% of total LNG imports
  • Conflict trigger: US and Israeli strikes on Iran, February 28, 2026
  • Rerouting via Cape of Good Hope adds approximately 2–3 weeks to Europe-bound voyages
  • Eastern India exports most affected: seafood (shrimp, fish), engineering goods, textiles, medicines