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International Relations May 26, 2026 5 min read Daily brief · #17 of 25

Prime Minister of Canada Mr. Mark Carney Calls India-Canada CEPA a “Game Changer” as Shri Piyush Goyal Holds High-Level Talks in Ottawa

India's Union Minister of Commerce and Industry arrived in Ottawa leading the largest-ever Indian business delegation to Canada, comprising industry leaders ...


What Happened

  • India's Union Minister of Commerce and Industry arrived in Ottawa leading the largest-ever Indian business delegation to Canada, comprising industry leaders from over 100 companies, in a landmark step towards full revival of India–Canada economic relations.
  • The visit coincided with the third round of India–Canada CEPA (Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement) negotiations being held in Ottawa from May 25–29, 2026.
  • Canada's Prime Minister described the proposed CEPA as a "game changer," signalling Ottawa's intent to complete negotiations within 2026.
  • Both sides discussed expanding bilateral trade across sectors including critical minerals, clean energy, agri-food, professional services, and financial services.
  • The commercial engagement follows from the formal CEPA launch in March 2026 during the Canadian Prime Minister's New Delhi visit, at which a bilateral trade expansion target of US $50 billion by 2030 was jointly announced.

Static Topic Bridges

Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement (CEPA) — Structure and India's Track Record

A Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement (CEPA) is a wide-spectrum bilateral trade agreement that integrates trade in goods, trade in services, investment protection, rules of origin, intellectual property rights (IPR), competition policy, and regulatory cooperation. This distinguishes it from a conventional Free Trade Agreement (FTA), which primarily covers tariff reduction on goods.

  • India's existing CEPAs: India–Japan CEPA (signed 2011, in force 2011); India–UAE CEPA (signed February 2022, in force May 2022 — India's fastest-negotiated CEPA, signed within 88 days).
  • India also has Comprehensive Economic Cooperation Agreements (CECAs) — functionally similar to CEPAs — with Singapore (2005) and Malaysia (2011).
  • FTA vs CEPA: An FTA typically covers only goods trade (tariff lines); a CEPA additionally binds services schedules, investment chapters, and IPR provisions. CEPA is thus considered more legally comprehensive and economically deeper.
  • The nodal ministry for India's trade negotiations is the Ministry of Commerce and Industry (Department of Commerce); negotiations are led by the Office of the Chief Negotiator.
  • India–Canada CEPA negotiations were first launched in 2010 as part of a broader bilateral economic engagement but were suspended in 2023 following the diplomatic crisis. Negotiations formally relaunched on March 2, 2026.

Connection to this news: The third round of negotiations in Ottawa represents the operational continuation of the March 2026 relaunch. The CEPA, if concluded, would be India's first CEPA with a G7 country (Japan and UAE are non-G7), significantly expanding market access for both economies.

Rules of Origin in Trade Agreements

Rules of Origin (RoO) are the criteria that determine the national source of a product for the purposes of trade policy — they prevent "tariff-shopping" (where goods from a third country are routed through a preferential-partner country to exploit lower duties). RoO are a critical chapter in any CEPA negotiation.

  • Two main types: Preferential Rules of Origin (for FTAs/CEPAs — govern when goods qualify for concessional duty rates) and Non-Preferential Rules of Origin (for general trade purposes — used in anti-dumping, countervailing duties, etc.).
  • Common RoO criteria: (a) Change in Tariff Classification (CTC) — the product must undergo sufficient processing to change its HS code; (b) Value Addition (VA) — a minimum percentage of value must be added in the exporting country; (c) Specific Process Rule — certain manufacturing steps must occur in the exporting country.
  • India has faced challenges with RoO circumvention in its ASEAN FTA (2009) — particularly in electronics — where goods from China were routed through ASEAN countries. This experience has made India cautious about RoO thresholds in new agreements.
  • In India–UAE CEPA, textile RoO thresholds were a major point of negotiation, with India seeking tight yarn-forward rules.

Connection to this news: The Ottawa negotiations include a dedicated Rules of Origin chapter — ensuring that Canada's large natural resource exports (particularly uranium and critical minerals) are governed by clear origin criteria, preventing triangular trade distortions.

India–Canada Trade in Services — Professional Mobility and IT

Canada is a significant destination for Indian professionals, particularly in IT and healthcare. Trade in services — especially Mode 4 (movement of natural persons) and Mode 3 (commercial presence) under the GATS framework — is a key Indian interest in the CEPA negotiations.

  • GATS (General Agreement on Trade in Services, 1995): WTO framework governing international services trade. Four modes: Mode 1 (cross-border supply), Mode 2 (consumption abroad), Mode 3 (commercial presence/FDI), Mode 4 (movement of persons).
  • India's primary interest in Mode 4 — facilitating movement of Indian IT professionals, engineers, and healthcare workers to Canada.
  • India's services exports to Canada: IT and software services, business process management, professional and technical services.
  • Canada's services interests in India: financial services, education services, clean technology.
  • Mutual Recognition Agreements (MRAs) for professional qualifications (e.g., engineers, accountants) are a standard deliverable in a CEPA services chapter.

Connection to this news: The large Indian business delegation to Ottawa — spanning IT, manufacturing, and services sectors — reflects India's intent to push for services market access and professional mobility commitments as part of the CEPA negotiations.

India's Critical Minerals Strategy and Canada's Resource Endowment

Canada is among the world's richest nations in critical minerals — cobalt, lithium, nickel, copper, and uranium — which are essential for India's clean energy transition (solar panels, batteries, electric vehicles) and its nuclear programme. The bilateral reset is partly anchored in India's need to diversify critical mineral supply chains away from a single dominant supplier.

  • India's Critical Minerals List (2023): 30 minerals identified as critical, including lithium, cobalt, nickel, graphite, titanium, and rare earth elements.
  • India's Critical Minerals Mission: announced in Union Budget 2024–25, with focus on domestic exploration, overseas acquisition, and recycling.
  • Canada produces approximately 60 minerals and metals commercially; it is a major global supplier of uranium (Saskatchewan province), potash, and nickel.
  • India–Canada bilateral engagement on critical minerals was explicitly mentioned in the March 2026 joint statement.
  • Cameco uranium supply agreement (March 2026): valued at approximately US $2.6 billion for 2027–2035; India's Department of Atomic Energy is the offtaker.

Connection to this news: The 100-company Indian delegation to Ottawa includes firms from the energy, mining equipment, and technology sectors — reflecting India's intent to develop supply chain partnerships alongside the CEPA framework in critical minerals and clean energy.

Key Facts & Data

  • India–Canada bilateral trade (2024–25): approximately US $9 billion
  • Bilateral trade target: US $50 billion by 2030
  • CEPA negotiations launched: March 2, 2026 (New Delhi); third round: May 25–29, 2026 (Ottawa)
  • First CEPA negotiations launched between India and Canada: 2010 (suspended 2023)
  • India–UAE CEPA: signed February 2022, in force May 2022 (fastest negotiated — 88 days)
  • India–Japan CEPA: in force since 2011
  • Cameco uranium deal: US $2.6 billion, deliveries 2027–2035
  • Canada's uranium production: among world's largest (Saskatchewan province)
  • India's critical minerals list: 30 minerals (2023)
  • Indian diaspora in Canada: approximately 1.8 million
  • India's services exports globally (2023–24): approximately US $341 billion (WTO data)
On this page
  1. What Happened
  2. Static Topic Bridges
  3. Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement (CEPA) — Structure and India's Track Record
  4. Rules of Origin in Trade Agreements
  5. India–Canada Trade in Services — Professional Mobility and IT
  6. India's Critical Minerals Strategy and Canada's Resource Endowment
  7. Key Facts & Data
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