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International Relations May 22, 2026 6 min read Daily brief · #21 of 24

India great partner, ready to expand energy exports: Marco Rubio

The US Secretary of State has stated that Washington is prepared to sell India "as much energy as it is willing to buy," signalling a major push to deepen en...


What Happened

  • The US Secretary of State has stated that Washington is prepared to sell India "as much energy as it is willing to buy," signalling a major push to deepen energy trade ties ahead of his official New Delhi visit.
  • The statement describes India as a "great partner" and positions energy cooperation as a key strategic pillar of the bilateral relationship.
  • The US has emerged as one of India's significant energy suppliers, particularly in liquefied natural gas (LNG) and crude oil, and is seeking to expand its share of India's energy import basket.
  • The visit to India (May 23–26) is the first official visit by the US Secretary of State to New Delhi and includes the Quad Foreign Ministers' Meeting.
  • Long-term LNG supply agreements between US exporters and Indian state-owned energy companies are under active discussion, potentially worth tens of billions of dollars.
  • India has previously committed to increasing annual US energy purchases from $15 billion to $25 billion, with LNG playing a central role.

Static Topic Bridges

India's Energy Security Architecture

India is the world's third-largest energy consumer and imports approximately 80% of its crude oil requirements. Energy security — ensuring affordable, reliable, and sustainable access to energy — is a core dimension of India's economic and foreign policy. India's import dependence makes it sensitive to supply disruptions and price volatility, driving a strategy of diversification across suppliers (West Asia, Russia, US, Africa) and fuel types (coal, oil, gas, renewables, nuclear).

  • India's oil import bill: approximately $130–150 billion annually, making it one of the largest expenditure items on the current account.
  • India's LNG imports have grown sharply — from $1.41 billion in FY24 to $2.46 billion in FY25, nearly doubling year-on-year.
  • India imports crude from Russia (currently India's largest single crude supplier), West Asian producers (Saudi Arabia, UAE, Iraq), and increasingly the US.
  • India's crude oil imports from the US surged 51% in the first half of 2025 compared to the same period in 2024, with the US share of India's total crude imports rising from 3% to 8%.

Connection to this news: The US's offer to expand energy exports to India addresses a direct strategic vulnerability — India's high import dependence and reliance on geopolitically volatile supply routes. Deepening US energy ties also serves India's long-term goal of supplier diversification.


US Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) and India's Gas Demand

The US has become the world's largest LNG exporter since 2023, with record production from shale gas fields enabling sustained export capacity growth. India's natural gas consumption is set to rise substantially as the country pursues the goal of increasing natural gas's share of its primary energy mix from the current ~6% to 15% by 2030 under the National Gas Grid and City Gas Distribution expansion programmes.

  • US LNG is priced on Henry Hub benchmark and sold largely on long-term contracts or spot markets — offering India pricing transparency compared to oil-linked contracts.
  • Key US LNG export terminals: Sabine Pass (Louisiana), Corpus Christi (Texas), Freeport (Texas), Cove Point (Maryland).
  • India's state-owned companies GAIL, IOC, BPCL, and Petronet LNG are the primary importers of US LNG.
  • A long-term LNG supply agreement between India and the US, reportedly under negotiation, could be worth $30–50 billion over 20 years.
  • The US-India energy trade is also politically beneficial for the US — reducing India's dependence on Russian energy, particularly relevant given Western sanctions on Russia.

Connection to this news: The US Secretary of State's statement on energy cooperation is not merely commercial — it is strategic signalling. Locking India into long-term US LNG contracts serves both energy security diversification for India and the US foreign policy goal of reducing India's alignment with Russian energy supply chains.


India-US Strategic and Economic Partnership

The US is India's largest trading partner, with bilateral merchandise and services trade exceeding $190 billion in 2024-25. The relationship encompasses defence (Major Defence Partner status, foundational defence agreements), technology (iCET on semiconductors, AI, quantum computing), health (vaccine partnerships), and increasingly energy. The US and India are engaged in ongoing trade negotiations, including over tariffs on steel, aluminium, and pharmaceuticals — a backdrop against which energy diplomacy carries additional strategic weight.

  • India's commitment to purchase $500 billion worth of US goods — including energy, technology, and other products — over five years was announced in 2025.
  • India raised its annual US energy purchase target from $15 billion to $25 billion.
  • The US-India Initiative on Critical and Emerging Technology (iCET, 2023) deepens cooperation on advanced defence systems, semiconductors, and space.
  • India's Major Defence Partner designation (2016) enables technology transfers comparable to formal treaty allies.

Connection to this news: The energy cooperation dimension of the Secretary of State's visit is directly embedded in the broader architecture of the US-India Comprehensive Global Strategic Partnership — positioning energy trade as a commercial relationship with strategic dimensions, including supply chain diversification, reduced dependence on adversarial suppliers, and strengthened bilateral economic interdependence.


India's Renewable Energy Transition and Natural Gas Bridge

India has set ambitious renewable energy targets — 500 GW of non-fossil fuel capacity by 2030 and net-zero by 2070. Natural gas is widely regarded as a "transition fuel" that can replace coal in power generation while renewable capacity scales up. The National Gas Grid (aiming for 35,000 km of pipeline) and City Gas Distribution network expansion are designed to make gas more accessible to industry and households, creating structural demand growth.

  • Natural gas currently accounts for approximately 6% of India's primary energy mix — well below the 15% target for 2030.
  • India's gas consumption is approximately 60–65 million standard cubic metres per day (mmscmd) — domestic production covers roughly 40%, with the rest imported as LNG.
  • US LNG offers India a diversification opportunity aligned with its climate commitments (gas emits roughly half the CO2 of coal per unit of electricity generated).
  • India's Green Hydrogen Mission also creates a potential long-term demand signal for clean hydrogen — an area where the US is developing export capacity.

Connection to this news: US energy export expansion to India spans both near-term crude oil and LNG supply, and potentially longer-term clean energy cooperation — aligning commercial interests with India's energy transition trajectory.


Key Facts & Data

  • India's crude oil import dependence: approximately 80% of requirements are imported.
  • India's oil import bill: approximately $130–150 billion annually.
  • Growth in India's LNG imports from US: nearly doubled from $1.41 billion (FY24) to $2.46 billion (FY25).
  • US share in India's total crude oil imports: rose from 3% to 8% in the first half of 2025.
  • India-US bilateral trade (2024-25): over $190 billion (US is India's largest trading partner).
  • India's commitment to purchase US goods/energy: $500 billion over five years (announced 2025).
  • Annual US energy purchase target for India: raised from $15 billion to $25 billion.
  • India's natural gas share in primary energy mix: ~6% (target: 15% by 2030).
  • India's net-zero target year: 2070.
  • India's renewable energy target: 500 GW non-fossil fuel capacity by 2030.
On this page
  1. What Happened
  2. Static Topic Bridges
  3. India's Energy Security Architecture
  4. US Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) and India's Gas Demand
  5. India-US Strategic and Economic Partnership
  6. India's Renewable Energy Transition and Natural Gas Bridge
  7. Key Facts & Data
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